Yes position
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $27.55
- Potential payout
- $157.42
- Potential profit
- $129.87
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$12.45
Polymarket Trader
Finvest13
0x53139ea790a180918b5c53fb71b1ac01e358c6e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $129.29
- Realized PnL
- $331.46
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $101.74
- Potential payout
- $116.28
- Potential profit
- $14.53
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.41
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.29
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.44
No position
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.86
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.82
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 25.4% 157.42 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No 88% 56.82 shares
- Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?No 57.6% 161.29 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US 55% 27.27 shares
- Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?No 31% 161.29 shares
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes 86% 116.28 shares
- Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?Yes 17% 129.41 shares
- Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?Yes 62% 32.26 shares
- US recession in 2025?No 45% 164.44 shares
- Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes 56% 239.29 shares