Clarmy

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $478.96
Potential profit: $478.72
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $46.26
Potential profit: $46.12
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.12
Potential profit: $33.12
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $21.28
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $0.74
Potential payout: $20.12
Potential profit: $19.38
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $15.05
Potential profit: $15.04
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $12.75
Potential profit: $12.74
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $11.24
Potential profit: $10.54
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.94
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $6.26
Potential profit: $5.29
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $5.66
Potential profit: $5.18
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.84
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.75
Potential profit: $3.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $3.51
Potential profit: $2.33
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $2.24
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 16?