No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 61.7%
- Current value
- $105.42
- Potential payout
- $171
- Potential profit
- $65.58
- Multiplier
- 1.62x
- User PnL
- -$7.44
Polymarket Trader
0x5337...329a
0x533796e7fcf77f58e75846c17a1d4d81e438329a
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $105.42
- Realized PnL
- $440.36
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.14
- Potential profit
- $50.14
- User PnL
- -$29.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.64
- Potential profit
- $45.64
- User PnL
- -$29.21
Down position
Solana Up or Down - March 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.32
- Potential profit
- $34.32
- User PnL
- -$29.9
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.01
- Potential profit
- $31.01
- User PnL
- -$29.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.91
- Potential profit
- $30.91
- User PnL
- -$29.98
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.91
- Potential profit
- $30.91
- User PnL
- -$29.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.85
- Potential profit
- $30.85
- User PnL
- -$29.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.85
- Potential profit
- $30.85
- User PnL
- -$29.93
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.83
- Potential profit
- $30.83
- User PnL
- -$29.93
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.56
- Potential profit
- $30.56
- User PnL
- -$29.95
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.56
- Potential profit
- $30.56
- User PnL
- -$29.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.56
- Potential profit
- $30.56
- User PnL
- -$29.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.53
- Potential profit
- $30.53
- User PnL
- -$29.95
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.36
- Potential profit
- $30.36
- User PnL
- -$29.99
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.29
- Potential profit
- $30.29
- User PnL
- -$29.99
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.29
- Potential profit
- $30.29
- User PnL
- -$29.99
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.27
- Potential profit
- $30.27
- User PnL
- -$29.97
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.27
- Potential profit
- $30.27
- User PnL
- -$29.97
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.27
- Potential profit
- $30.27
- User PnL
- -$29.97
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.27
- Potential profit
- $30.27
- User PnL
- -$29.97
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.27
- Potential profit
- $30.27
- User PnL
- -$29.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.27
- Potential profit
- $30.27
- User PnL
- -$29.97
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.27
- Potential profit
- $30.27
- User PnL
- -$29.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Cezar Cretu position
Chisinau: Cezar Cretu vs Pavel Kotov
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299.98
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $31.4
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.57
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.59
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.47
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.39
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $7.25
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.05
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 2, 6PM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Down position
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 62.3% 684.01 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 42% 5 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 60% 203 shares
- Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 65% 35.19 shares
- Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 37% 255 shares
- Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 41% 5.3 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 8% 20 shares
- Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 40% 1.54 shares
- Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 40% 1.54 shares
- Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 42% 95 shares
- Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?No 10% 228 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 53% 530.01 shares