Polymarket Trader

AguilA

0x53399f863f534a4edb24c51ca992b46f671a2d12

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.78
Realized PnL: $1.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $18.78
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $1.22
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.18

Yes position

Will Trump say "Table" this week?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$8.6

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$16.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $265.03

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $4400 and $4500 on September 3?

Ends Sep 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.5

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2500 on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.85

No position

U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $87.35

No position

Will Trump say "UFC" this week?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.1

No position

Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $59.17

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.1

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on July 25?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $4200 and $4300 on September 5?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.38

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $4300 and $4400 on September 5?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.85

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4400 on August 18?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

No position

Will Gold hit $3,000 before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.4

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.4

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102000 and $104000 on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.6

No position

Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.38

Yes position

China-Vietnam trade deal before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.24

No position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.61

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.9

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.81

No position

Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.7

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.59

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2200 on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.4

PSG position

Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milan

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Star" this week?

No 94.4% 13.63 shares
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week?

No 97.2% 18.5 shares
Will Trump say "Memory" this week?

No 97.7% 11.14 shares
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?

No 95.8% 75 shares
Will Trump say "Table" this week?

Yes 43% 20 shares
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week?

No 84% 25 shares
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?

No 13% 100 shares
Will Trump say "Star" this week?

No 34% 57.45 shares
Will Trump say "Memory" this week?

No 52.9% 15.27 shares
Will Trump say "Kamala" this week? (April 20 - 26)

No 63.4% 9.85 shares
Will Trump say "Shit" this week? (April 20 - 26)

No 53% 9.81 shares
Will Trump say "My Father" or "Fred" this week? (April 20 - 26)

No 88% 9.95 shares