Yes position
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $144.87
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.42K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$55.13
Polymarket Trader
infiloop2
0x533f10e0b7cb615db6ca0203c1d325f435212ef1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $468.84
- Realized PnL
- $6.57K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $257.14
- Potential payout
- $432.53
- Potential profit
- $175.39
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $7.14
Yes position
Will Microstrategy's mNAV reach 2.00 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $159.04
- Potential profit
- $159.04
- User PnL
- -$28.63
Yes position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $66.84
- Potential payout
- $66.87
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $45.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $518.77
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 22-28?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $479.97
Yes position
$MSTR added to Nasdaq 100?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $471.58
Yes position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380.57
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.14
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 27-June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.65
No position
GPT-5 released in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.62
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267.16
No position
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $262.59
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.66
Yes position
MicroStrategy purchases >8000 BTC June 10-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.82
Yes position
Biden drops out in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.23
No position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.41
Yes position
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb Mar 11-17?
Ends Mar 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.36
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 29-May 5?
Ends May 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.34
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 3-9?
Ends Jun 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.05
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 15-21?
Ends Apr 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.43
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.09
Gukesh position
World Chess Championship 2024 Winner
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114
No position
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
Ends Jan 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
MicroStrategy purchases >8000 BTC June 17-23?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 24-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Yes 32% 66.87 shares
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 57.8% 432.53 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 61.2% 99.59 shares
- Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceEngland 65.2% 153.26 shares
- Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes 7.8% 2,564.1 shares
- Will Microstrategy's mNAV reach 2.00 by December 31?Yes 18% 159.04 shares
- Will MicroStrategy hold 630k+ BTC by August 31?Yes 90% 28.62 shares
- Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?Yes 21% 25.76 shares
- Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?Yes 0.2% 2,705.36 shares
- Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?Yes 92% 2,705.37 shares
- Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 24-30?Yes 95% 1,000 shares
- Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 24-30?Yes 95% 1,000 shares