No position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
rasmusjohn
0x53529ee515dd3508acaab2c0b428a3384433659a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.9
- Realized PnL
- $956.3
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $65
- User PnL
- -$48.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$31.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $9.88
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $15.13
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$7.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.99
- Potential profit
- $24.99
- User PnL
- -$14.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $3.03
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.98
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.65
Tottenham position
Europa League Final
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.97
Yes position
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.09
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.43
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.85
No position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $15.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.06
No position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.54
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETDown 66% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETUp 73% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETUp 66% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETDown 72% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETUp 62% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETUp 62% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETUp 89% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETDown 59% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETUp 73% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETUp 77% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETUp 37% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETUp 33% 5 shares