Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $7.08
Polymarket Trader
ivancallum813
0x53562345e9e9b9853c17a2bee2805bd84d03e8cd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $15.45
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $7.08
No position
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Multiplier
- 15.63x
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 51°F or below on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Brad Garlinghouse attend the March 7 Crypto Summit?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Trump cryptocurrency executive order this week?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Alexander Zverev win Wimbledon 2025?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will another team have the highest Constructor score at the Australian GP?
Ends Mar 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 89% 41 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 92% 60 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 92% 60 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 27% 70 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 27% 150 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 72% 15 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 14% 104 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 14% 156 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 88.9% 62 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.1% 80 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 53% 115 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 89% 62 shares