Polymarket Trader

0x5370573886f4F25DaE8eC0E98E486891f387eCb8-1778221183230

0x5370573886f4f25dae8ec0e98e486891f387ecb8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $210.36
Realized PnL: $359.16
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $4.85
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$6.15

Yes position

Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $82.53
Potential payout: $611.37
Potential profit: $528.83
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$8.11

Yes position

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $492
Potential profit: $492
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $21.17
Potential payout: $419.24
Potential profit: $398.07
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $295.38
Potential profit: $295.38
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $75.83
Potential payout: $280.84
Potential profit: $205.01
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$12.47

Yes position

Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $275
Potential profit: $275
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $268.95
Potential profit: $268.95
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $12.72
Potential payout: $210.21
Potential profit: $197.49
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $206.5
Potential profit: $204.95
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$5.45

Yes position

Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $202.02
Potential profit: $201.11
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $177.67
Potential profit: $177.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 30m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.66
Potential payout: $157.89
Potential profit: $156.24
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.34

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $9.05
Potential payout: $157.42
Potential profit: $148.37
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$5.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.35

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.58

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.48

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.65

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.44

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.06

No position

Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

No position

Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.74

No position

Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.36

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.25

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.18

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $80 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.59

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.15

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.69

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.51

No position

Will Trump post "Ceasefire" or "Cease-fire" or "Cease fire" on Truth Social this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.11

Yes position

Will Tariq Obaid as Taro Sakamoto (SAKAMOTO DAYS) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Arabic) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

No position

Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No 44% 11.36 shares
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 18% 16.67 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?

Yes 12% 25 shares
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?

No 15% 20 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 17.5% 17.11 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 31.25 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.6% 35.71 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.4% 23.81 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.4% 21.28 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

No 28% 17.86 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 16% 18.75 shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No 44% 18.18 shares