No position
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $21
- User PnL
- -$19.64
Polymarket Trader
mikeriver17
0x5373a6bb7ef58c85bf869108f7edeab7eef60e4a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $160.08
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.05
Yes position
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes 5.8% 37 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes 5.4% 70 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes 5.6% 54 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes 96.1% 9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 23?No 96.9% 24 shares
- Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?No 93.5% 21 shares
- Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?No 5.9% 42.81 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes 1.6% 73 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes 2.4% 155 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No 96.5% 61 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No 98.1% 20 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No 97.5% 60 shares