No position
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- User PnL
- -$314.8
Polymarket Trader
nveritatis
@CrossThrea14749
0x5374e5292623b79fb68647d8ed891def0d1a952a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.48K
- Realized PnL
- $2.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will "Crack Cocaine" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $916
- Potential profit
- $916
- User PnL
- -$138.32
No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $525.83
- Potential payout
- $779
- Potential profit
- $253.17
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $35.06
Yes position
Will Ethena be the top performing crypto for the week of March 9?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $618
- Potential profit
- $618
- User PnL
- -$197.76
Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $341.2
- Potential payout
- $491
- Potential profit
- $149.8
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $12.23
No position
Will fewer than 2 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $453
- Potential payout
- $453
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $276.33
Yes position
Will Cramer say "Bitcoin" 4+ times during TBPN on December 4?
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $319
- Potential profit
- $319
- User PnL
- -$146.74
Yes position
Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294
- Potential profit
- $294
- User PnL
- -$108.78
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $282
- Potential profit
- $282
- User PnL
- -$36.66
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.6%
- Current value
- $131.57
- Potential payout
- $271
- Potential profit
- $139.43
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$3.39
Under position
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $187
- Potential profit
- $187
- User PnL
- -$127.16
Yes position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 2% and 3%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$11.77
Over position
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64
- Potential profit
- $64
- User PnL
- -$16.64
Yes position
Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $8.8
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $31.2
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$11.6
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $21
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $18.69
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the New Orleans Pelicans have the worst record in the NBA?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $2.82
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $1.18
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Under position
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.88
No position
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $174.16
Yes position
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $165.3
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $109.35
No position
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $103.01
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $86.42
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 18 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.28
Yes position
Will Antoine Semenyo sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.4
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.52
No position
Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.25
Yes position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.84
No position
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $33.36
Yes position
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.43
Yes position
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.2%
- Multiplier
- 10.87x
- User PnL
- $29.45
No position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.14
No position
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.23
Yes position
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.51
Yes position
Will the San Francisco 49ers be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.92
No position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.34
No position
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.42
Yes position
Will Good Hang with Amy Poehler win Best Podcast at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.32
Yes position
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $20.88
Yes position
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- $17.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 47.4% 287 shares
- Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 27% 553 shares
- Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?No 91.4% 23 shares
- Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?No 92% 389 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 49.8% 558 shares
- 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No 56% 346 shares
- Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?No 85% 389 shares
- Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 63% 779 shares
- Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 24% 553 shares
- Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?No 20% 1,574 shares
- Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No 87% 878 shares
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?No 63% 96 shares