Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $299.24
- Potential payout
- $4.6K
- Potential profit
- $4.3K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$184.86
Polymarket Trader
0x53907Cb39cD81F9edd3bfDb780246154C0f0FB08-1769569919622
0x53907cb39cd81f9edd3bfdb780246154c0f0fb08
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $299.88
- Realized PnL
- $3.2
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.03
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.66
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$2.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 1% 100 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 55.56 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 85% 13.72 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 51% 13.73 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 25% 40 shares
- 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No 48% 37.03 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 11% 355.55 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 10.9% 1,050.51 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 11% 1,090.91 shares
- 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No 54% 37.04 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 10% 900 shares