No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $141.01K
- Potential profit
- $141.01K
- User PnL
- -$38.23K
Polymarket Trader
dante89
0x53977c569872d7a7b34eaf0b2ccb8be327bd736b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $333.06
- Realized PnL
- $6.93K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.17K
- Potential profit
- $44.17K
- User PnL
- -$19.78K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.54K
- Potential profit
- $13.54K
- User PnL
- -$7.21K
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.05K
- Potential profit
- $10.05K
- User PnL
- -$89.65
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $20.45
- Potential payout
- $298.51
- Potential profit
- $278.06
- Multiplier
- 14.60x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in June?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $113.4
- Potential payout
- $283.85
- Potential profit
- $170.45
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $13.4
No position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $249.99
- Potential profit
- $249.99
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$38
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- -$53.2
No position
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in June?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $99.41
- Potential payout
- $112.32
- Potential profit
- $12.92
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will the US add at least 200k jobs in June?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $79.82
- Potential profit
- $75.43
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$17.87
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $41.49
- Potential payout
- $65.85
- Potential profit
- $24.36
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $11.49
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $13.71
- Potential payout
- $63.75
- Potential profit
- $50.04
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $3.71
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$5.25
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $32.15
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $2.15
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $8.08
- Potential payout
- $21.55
- Potential profit
- $13.47
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $2.69
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.93
- Potential profit
- $15.93
- User PnL
- -$9.08
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.78
- Potential profit
- $14.78
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.5
Down position
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.3
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.12
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.44
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.93
Down position
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on November 6?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.39
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.83
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.66
No position
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.61
Yes position
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$48.72
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$54.72
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$70
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US add at least 200k jobs in June?Yes 27.9% 79.82 shares
- Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in June?Yes 35.2% 283.85 shares
- Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in June?No 89% 112.32 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?No 31% 58.45 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 93.4% 46.51 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?No 98.9% 106.05 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Yes 67% 22.39 shares
- Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?No 88% 22.73 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 11.8% 677.75 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 11.2% 223.21 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 11% 454.55 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 20.4% 16.61 shares