Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $6.08K
- Potential payout
- $29.44K
- Potential profit
- $23.36K
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$2.64K
Polymarket Trader
fitmk
0x539d01b1c4d860570a3ea35aaf87168a1f351e69
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.69K
- Realized PnL
- $67.09K
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.37K
- Potential profit
- $8.37K
- User PnL
- -$5K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.2%
- Current value
- $3.61K
- Potential payout
- $6.92K
- Potential profit
- $3.31K
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.39K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.96K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.68K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.11K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.45K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.85K
Yes position
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18K
Yes position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $713.38
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $428.57
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.59
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$58.82
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$88.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$370.76
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$585.52
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$665.61
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$835.83
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.07K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 72.2% 6,923.29 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?No 59.7% 8,369.68 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 9.5% 11,976.06 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 83.5% 11,976.06 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 87.1% 45,937.67 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No 97.7% 6,576.02 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 75% 13,333.33 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No 97.9% 10,115.59 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No 76.3% 10,484.7 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No 57.8% 17,310.21 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No 55.8% 8,953.67 shares
- Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No 13.6% 8,886.35 shares