Polymarket Trader

DionysiacNonnos

0x53a866dd0a198cc72eaffa0cd5b280e5fa3e4b54

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $288.3
Realized PnL: $1.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $97.5
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$52.5

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $84.29
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$95.71

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $879.6
Potential profit: $879.6
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $717.95
Potential profit: $717.95
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $403.88
Potential profit: $403.88
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.3%
Current value: $55.97
Potential payout: $251.57
Potential profit: $195.6
Multiplier: 4.49x
User PnL: $15.97

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $136.36
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.7%
Current value: $20.49
Potential payout: $122.7
Potential profit: $102.21
Multiplier: 5.99x
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.6%
Current value: $23.55
Potential payout: $92.17
Potential profit: $68.62
Multiplier: 3.91x
User PnL: $3.55

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.25
Potential profit: $77.25
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.22

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.88

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.59

Demoor position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.26

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.72

No position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.15

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.55

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.45

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.11

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.62

White Sox position

White Sox vs. Angels

Ends Aug 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.67

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.37

Dodgers position

Dodgers vs. Rays

Ends Aug 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.54

Yes position

Will 52 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.92

No position

Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.24

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.35

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.05

Yes position

Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.99

Yes position

Bank of England rate cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.89

Guardians position

Marlins vs. Guardians

Ends Aug 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 15.9% 251.57 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 16.3% 122.7 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 10% 500 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 10% 1,000 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 0.3% 250 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 0.2% 477.43 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 0.1% 272.73 shares
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 0.2% 1,562.94 shares
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Yes 17% 68.96 shares
Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Yes 17% 90.9 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 9% 799.67 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 4.9% 408.47 shares