Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Polymarket Trader
0x53A86DC28b44EcCcBd5eA9BcD3c6470d4d027824-1769847732239
0x53a86dc28b44ecccbd5ea9bcd3c6470d4d027824
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.37
- Realized PnL
- $276.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $823.11
- Potential profit
- $821.05
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.78
Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.17
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $332.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.17
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $332.83
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.17
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.48
- Potential payout
- $320
- Potential profit
- $319.52
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.25
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.25
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $110.72
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.15
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $4.16
- Potential payout
- $88.47
- Potential profit
- $84.31
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- -$2.84
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.21
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $76.67
- Potential profit
- $75.71
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $57.5
- Potential profit
- $56.67
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.37
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.83
Monte position
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Johnny Speeds position
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.64
Atreides position
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Atreides - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.16
M80 position
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.15
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.79
paiN position
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
MIBR position
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
M80 position
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 26% 3.85 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 7.1% 28.06 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.3% 18.87 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.8% 55.56 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 33% 9.09 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 8.3% 60.42 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 34% 8.82 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 57% 6.38 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 34% 14.71 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 43.4% 20.74 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 41% 23.24 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETUp 3% 33.33 shares