Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $20.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $79.5
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Polymarket Trader
spinach01
0x53a94dff84cc04b4f43be155c49621f9ccb30ea1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $43.2
- Realized PnL
- $167.86
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $25.96
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $5.13
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $19.88
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $5.08
- Potential payout
- $5.32
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.04
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.93
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C or higher on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.71
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.36
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.02
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.44
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C or below on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 20% 25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 20% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?No 93.9% 5.32 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes 26% 38.46 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No 80.7% 12.39 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No 80.7% 12.39 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes 5.6% 133.33 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Yes 2% 50 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Yes 6.3% 72.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETUp 12% 8.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETDown 77% 1.3 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes 15% 133.33 shares