Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $708K
- Potential profit
- $708K
- User PnL
- -$6.98K
Polymarket Trader
uma003
0x53c48faa2373f597b693567f79c3782c6ce7740b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $330.95K
- Realized PnL
- $12.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $100.3K
- Potential payout
- $247.65K
- Potential profit
- $147.35K
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$10.41K
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $77.34K
- Potential payout
- $144.55K
- Potential profit
- $67.22K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$7.66K
No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $59.56K
- Potential payout
- $63.8K
- Potential profit
- $4.24K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $46.62K
- Potential payout
- $53.27K
- Potential profit
- $6.66K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$955.65
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $22.77K
- Potential payout
- $29.57K
- Potential profit
- $6.8K
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.15K
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $17.26K
- Potential payout
- $23.49K
- Potential profit
- $6.22K
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$769.07
Mavericks position
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.4K
- Potential profit
- $20.4K
- User PnL
- -$10K
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $3.69K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $16.31K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $410
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $917.7
- Potential payout
- $11.4K
- Potential profit
- $10.48K
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- -$401.69
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $2.25K
- Potential payout
- $8.03K
- Potential profit
- $5.78K
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $432.8
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.31K
- Potential profit
- $6.31K
- User PnL
- -$1.26K
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.16K
- Potential profit
- $5.16K
- User PnL
- -$1.56K
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,600 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$2.15K
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.77K
- Potential profit
- $4.77K
- User PnL
- -$16.12
No position
Will the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.03K
- Potential profit
- $4.03K
- User PnL
- -$8.06
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $47.85
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.85K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$13.05
Yes position
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.31K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- User PnL
- -$2.11K
Over position
SC Freiburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- User PnL
- -$2.06K
No position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- User PnL
- -$1.26K
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$880
Jazz position
Lakers vs. Jazz
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $457
- Potential profit
- $457
- User PnL
- -$127.96
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $205.52
- Potential payout
- $219.81
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.3
Lakers position
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12K
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Suns position
Suns vs. Mavericks
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $910.8
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $553.32
Hornets position
Bucks vs. Hornets
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $507.86
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.73
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.08
Spurs position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68
Thunder position
Lakers vs. Thunder
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $50.01
Spurs position
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.5
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.49
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.66
76ers position
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.18
No position
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.14
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $3.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?No 86% 24,715.96 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No 62% 31,273.26 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No 97.6% 0.84 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No 94% 198.92 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No 40% 1,346.93 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No 40% 1,089.15 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No 41% 8,955.4 shares
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs 50% 1,000 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No 93% 346.58 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?Down 99.7% 19.65 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?Up 40% 200 shares
- Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 8?Up 77% 600 shares