No position
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.37K
- Potential profit
- $6.37K
- User PnL
- -$1.4K
Polymarket Trader
lassenstr
0x53d69b666dc37a863245729e8981de5d1114055a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2K
- Realized PnL
- $1.45K
- Win rate
- 92.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- User PnL
- -$200
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.27
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305.02
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.27
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.52
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.03
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $90
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $11.55
Yes position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Multiplier
- 8.97x
- User PnL
- -$20.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?No 98% 89.79 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 9.5% 1,345.45 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.6% 10,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.6% 18,318 shares
- Claude 4.8 released by May 31?Yes 99.9% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 84.1% 1,189.07 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 84.1% 1,189.65 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 84.5% 607.1 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 78.2% 639.43 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No 13% 1,538.46 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 11% 454.55 shares