Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.85
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Polymarket Trader
0x53D89D557Fe2b68a4cf2E75A76C43aF2A08175f6-1779199366777
0x53d89d557fe2b68a4cf2e75a76c43af2a08175f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.61
- Realized PnL
- $55.61
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.55
- Potential profit
- $95.55
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.62
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.27
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.91
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $32.09
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $30.3
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $30.1
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $24.39
- User PnL
- -$0.98
N
No position
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $18.06
- Multiplier
- 16.39x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $17
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.66
- Potential profit
- $16.66
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $16.66
- Potential profit
- $15.66
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $16.66
- Potential profit
- $16.22
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.28
- Potential profit
- $14.28
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Russia enter Borova by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $14.28
- Potential profit
- $13.64
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.28
- Potential profit
- $14.28
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.88
- Potential profit
- $13.88
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $11.87
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $12.18
- Potential profit
- $10.9
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.81
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.45
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.63
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Yes position
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.41
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No 99.9% 5 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 32% 5 shares
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 76.7% 6.71 shares
- Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 2.1% 47.62 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.7% 17 shares
- Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Yes 3.2% 33 shares
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 1.4% 85 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Yes 41% 2.44 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?Yes 5.8% 20 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No 82.9% 5 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?No 81.2% 5 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes 2% 50 shares