Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- User PnL
- -$188.2
Polymarket Trader
0x53e51cf5Ec91E8fBBCbBeDA94cA4D47D9ef35246-1772642055303
0x53e51cf5ec91e8fbbcbbeda94ca4d47d9ef35246
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $95.89
- Realized PnL
- $523.03
- Win rate
- 77.8%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $95.89
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$367.73
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $261.25
- Potential profit
- $261.25
- User PnL
- -$41
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $143.2
- Potential profit
- $143.2
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.23
- Potential profit
- $107.23
- User PnL
- -$32.3
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.28
- Potential profit
- $76.28
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 14?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.21
- Potential profit
- $53.21
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.58
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.01
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.63
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.44
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.31
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.35
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.88
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 21% 376.19 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 20.8% 288 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 1.9% 710.53 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 50.7% 473.14 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 2.5% 189.36 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 45.2% 10 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 51.6% 263.49 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 71% 191.72 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 59.7% 41.21 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 39% 76.92 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 41% 73.17 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 60% 100 shares