Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Polymarket Trader
kk22231
0x53fb927aaa49725744a6ac7eeedf51fd1c93e92a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $130.1
- Realized PnL
- $2.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- User PnL
- -$327.5
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $639.4
- Potential profit
- $639.4
- User PnL
- -$71.94
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $503
- Potential profit
- $503
- User PnL
- -$5.03
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $104
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $296
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $43.6
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $18
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $382
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$86
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $397.79
- Potential profit
- $397.79
- User PnL
- -$13.74
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $344.49
- Potential profit
- $344.49
- User PnL
- -$10.66
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $318.88
- Potential profit
- $318.88
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $286.06
- Potential profit
- $286.06
- User PnL
- -$19.58
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285.72
- Potential profit
- $285.72
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250.01
- Potential profit
- $250.01
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $207.42
- Potential profit
- $207.42
- User PnL
- -$14.52
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $202.94
- Potential profit
- $202.94
- User PnL
- -$42.99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $200.1
- Potential profit
- $191.99
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $200.01
- User PnL
- -$11.27
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $200.01
- User PnL
- -$36
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $438.72
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.46
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.94
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.42
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.88
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.12
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.28
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $65.97
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.97
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.55
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.77
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.71
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.98
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.81
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?Yes 15.1% 400 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 83% 100 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 18.1% 356.73 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes 30.2% 71.63 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes 40% 100.41 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No 41% 99.98 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes 31% 20 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?Yes 21% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?Yes 63% 229.52 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?Yes 3.4% 166.66 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?Yes 9% 166.67 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?Yes 2.8% 105.43 shares