Polymarket Trader

Revelation

0x540abca35a3f08f0d8cbacc07f3d77e3d6e35935

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $101.94
Realized PnL: -$136.37
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $34.43
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.65K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$32.14

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $30.43
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: $10.43

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $37.07
Potential payout: $872.25
Potential profit: $835.18
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $17.07

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.48

Yes position

[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.93

Yes position

Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.63

Yes position

Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.48

No position

Iran military response by Friday?

Ends Aug 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.59

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.02

No position

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.29

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

No position

Iran military response by Friday?

Ends Aug 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.91

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.69

No position

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.42

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.59

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$29.14

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$42.12

Yes position

Suella Braverman next Conservative party leader?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.31

Yes position

Will Haley win the Iowa Caucus?

Ends Jan 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$104.93

No position

[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$120.71

Yes position

[Single Market] Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$186.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Yes 2.3% 872.25 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Yes 1.4% 1,383.17 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Yes 11% 41.66 shares
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 6% 166.67 shares
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 23% 43.48 shares
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Yes 9% 111.11 shares
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 13% 76.92 shares
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Yes 25% 40 shares
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Yes 29% 34.48 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 56% 17.86 shares
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Yes 22% 45.45 shares
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Yes 30% 33.33 shares