No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $22.14
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $120.71
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$17.86
Polymarket Trader
heaviside1850
0x54134bd9cc9098868bb934be8100bb9e2aa79c7f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $71.61
- Realized PnL
- $11.08
- Win rate
- 92.3%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $34.77
- Potential payout
- $53.91
- Potential profit
- $19.14
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $4.77
No position
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $6.24
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $4.17
- Potential payout
- $9.8
- Potential profit
- $5.64
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.47
- Potential profit
- $8.47
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $6.04
- Potential payout
- $6.12
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $3.61
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.61
- Potential profit
- $1.61
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Ends Oct 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
James Comey arrested by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 81.8% 6.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 57% 17.54 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 28% 142.86 shares
- Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No 47% 9.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 85% 35.98 shares
- Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes 83% 6.49 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 55% 36.36 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes 78% 1.38 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 46% 26.31 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes 78% 6.41 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 38% 26.32 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 52% 19.23 shares