Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.6%
- Current value
- $47.29
- Potential payout
- $269.46
- Potential profit
- $222.17
- Multiplier
- 5.70x
- User PnL
- $2.29
Polymarket Trader
luckych7
0x5419594511e8d28ee2dc813f59272df0c3acf488
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $145.5
- Realized PnL
- -$9.84
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 83.3%
- Current value
- $54.36
- Potential payout
- $65.3
- Potential profit
- $10.94
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $24.36
Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Current value
- $9.02
- Potential payout
- $53.83
- Potential profit
- $44.81
- Multiplier
- 5.97x
- User PnL
- -$20.98
N
No position
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $21.36
- Potential payout
- $21.37
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $6.36
Yes position
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $13.48
- Potential payout
- $20.27
- Potential profit
- $6.79
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$9.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?Yes 74% 20.27 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 47.3% 31.74 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 44.7% 33.56 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 16.7% 89.82 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 16.7% 89.82 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 16.7% 89.82 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 55.8% 26.9 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 55.7% 26.93 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 2.2% 912.44 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 3.1% 483.87 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 3.5% 428.57 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?No 70.2% 21.37 shares