Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $23.29
- Potential profit
- $23.09
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Polymarket Trader
0x542c...02ef
0x542cab9ead97b822f9d1cf398c7fda717eab02ef
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $7.37
- Realized PnL
- -$9.71
- Win rate
- 16.7%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.54
- Potential profit
- $20.54
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $19.82
- Potential profit
- $19.78
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $18.1
- Potential profit
- $17.74
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $10.61
- Potential profit
- $10.2
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.79
- Potential payout
- $10.25
- Potential profit
- $8.46
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $8.08
- Potential profit
- $7.19
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.8%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $5.83
- Potential profit
- $4.91
- Multiplier
- 6.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $2.73
- Potential payout
- $5.11
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.01
- Potential profit
- $5.01
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.01
- Potential profit
- $5.01
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.97
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.03x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.27
Yes position
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Yes position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.61
Yes position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.01
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?Yes 7% 21.99 shares
- New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes 53% 5.09 shares
- Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?Yes 15% 7 shares
- New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes 51% 15.46 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes 5.8% 18.1 shares
- New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes 52% 5.1 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 14% 7.5 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 16% 6.56 shares
- New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes 55% 5.09 shares
- New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes 52% 5.1 shares
- Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?Yes 14% 7.5 shares
- Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?Yes 14% 7.5 shares