No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $1.5K
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $36.18
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $102.45
Polymarket Trader
clark.
@chenli452256
0x543f7e55ffbebe257e099cd0d15c78462e862e82
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.5K
- Realized PnL
- $1.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $1.43
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.92
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.71
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.06
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.09
No position
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.28
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.3
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.93
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.08
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.18
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $47.88
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.6
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $42.73
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.42
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.16
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.66
No position
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.79
No position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.72
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.57
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ET
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.53
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Yes 0.1% 14.92 shares
- Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?No 21% 27.02 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Yes 0.4% 16.39 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Yes 6.7% 14.93 shares
- Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?No 37% 24.32 shares
- Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?No 37% 2.7 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Yes 6.1% 16.39 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 70% 1.43 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 69% 50 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.7% 180.14 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 74% 50 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 91% 1,538.46 shares