Polymarket Trader

aonon

0x5444151fb765690dcd780ad53076263064974853

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $99.17
Realized PnL: $70.38
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $99.17
Potential payout: $112.69
Potential profit: $13.52
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by October 31?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.86

Yes position

Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by December 31?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.51

Yes position

EU sanctions on Iran by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.41

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.71

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Russian Capture Edition

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.45

No position

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.22

No position

Will Israel not raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30 ET?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.93

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

No position

OpenAI browser by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Larry Ellison be richest person on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Israel strikes 3 different countries by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.71

Yes position

US bank failure by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.76

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

No 87.3% 112.69 shares
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?

Yes 8% 125 shares
Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?

Yes 32% 31.25 shares
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?

Yes 8% 250 shares
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?

No 4.6% 329.42 shares
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?

No 3% 333.93 shares
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

Yes 22.8% 87.65 shares
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?

Yes 26% 76.92 shares
Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?

Yes 32% 62.5 shares
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?

No 96.3% 10.52 shares
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?

Yes 11% 90.91 shares
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31

Yes 8% 87.5 shares