Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.73K
- Potential profit
- $21.73K
- User PnL
- -$9.99K
Polymarket Trader
fmntour
0x5448227a1c2a106ba44fa037f836962280ef18e9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $824.66
- Realized PnL
- $1.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $682.93
- Potential payout
- $8.03K
- Potential profit
- $7.35K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$317.06
No position
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$18.5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $786.23
- Potential profit
- $786.23
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $277.78
- Potential profit
- $277.78
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 24?
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $215.07
- Potential profit
- $215.07
- User PnL
- -$86.57
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 10?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $208.33
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 13.1%
- Current value
- $26.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $173.9
- Multiplier
- 7.66x
- User PnL
- -$23.9
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $115.63
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $9.38
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $15.63
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.66
- Potential profit
- $118.66
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump say "Too Late" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.5
- Potential profit
- $116.5
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fake News" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.15
- Potential profit
- $96.15
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.15
- Potential profit
- $96.15
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.86
- Potential profit
- $86.86
- User PnL
- -$25.19
No position
Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.2
- Potential profit
- $80.2
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.37
- Potential profit
- $79.37
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.15
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.21
Yes position
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $125.33
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.52
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.11
No position
Will Hyperliquid reach $40 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.88
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.33
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.33
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.22
Yes position
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.77
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.63
Yes position
Will Trump say "Scam" or "Hoax" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.53
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.19
No position
Will Jensen Huang flip AI for Time Person of the Year by Friday?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.93
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.43
No position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.65
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.67
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.3
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.06
No position
GPT ads by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.13
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 12% 4,166.67 shares
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 26.9% 208.33 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 10.5% 1,583.33 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes 96.6% 81.96 shares
- Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes 22.5% 1,000 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes 61% 81.97 shares
- Will Trump say "Too Late" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes 42.9% 116.5 shares
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes 75.4% 66.3 shares
- Will Trump say "Fake News" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes 50% 100 shares
- Will Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes 85% 117.65 shares
- Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes 63% 79.37 shares
- Will Trump say "Scam" or "Hoax" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes 68% 73.53 shares