Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $12.21
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$18.6
Polymarket Trader
0x5449...992b
0x54498e4c40b17261479aeaeeddf9cc37bd46992b
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $4.42K
- Realized PnL
- $19.07K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.57K
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $0.79
- User PnL
- $257.99
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $0.56
- User PnL
- $233.92
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $88.72
- Potential payout
- $755.09
- Potential profit
- $666.37
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $22.15
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $49.29
- Potential payout
- $741.18
- Potential profit
- $691.89
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$13.71
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Current value
- $55.84
- Potential payout
- $711.31
- Potential profit
- $655.48
- Multiplier
- 12.74x
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $91.24
- Potential payout
- $710.06
- Potential profit
- $618.82
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $13.15
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $101.3
- Potential payout
- $675.33
- Potential profit
- $574.03
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$36.4
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $9.46
- Potential payout
- $411.35
- Potential profit
- $401.89
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $190.14
- Potential payout
- $384.13
- Potential profit
- $193.98
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $17.44
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.8%
- Current value
- $31.97
- Potential payout
- $363.26
- Potential profit
- $331.29
- Multiplier
- 11.36x
- User PnL
- -$6.69
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $114.52
- Potential payout
- $352.35
- Potential profit
- $237.84
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $23.03
Yes position
Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $322.51
- Potential profit
- $321.54
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.03
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $59.35
- Potential payout
- $321.7
- Potential profit
- $262.35
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $7.24
Yes position
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $318.19
- Potential profit
- $318.03
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$42.34
Yes position
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.34
- Potential payout
- $296.93
- Potential profit
- $295.59
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.66
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $253.8
- Potential payout
- $293.41
- Potential profit
- $39.61
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $31.2
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $261.16
- Potential payout
- $262.08
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $213.37
- Potential payout
- $243.85
- Potential profit
- $30.48
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $25.04
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $29.96
- Potential payout
- $239.69
- Potential profit
- $209.73
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.3
N
No position
Will Alex Bores win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $156.44
- Potential payout
- $212.84
- Potential profit
- $56.4
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $751.9
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $634.05
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $534.45
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $423.96
No position
Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.35
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330.95
No position
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.03
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.24
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.92
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.61
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.19
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.39
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.38
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $207.08
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.69
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.06
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.43
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 99.9% 1.25 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 98.4% 1.12 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 1.12 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 98.6% 1.12 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 1.12 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 1.12 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 66% 1.89 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 54.2% 0.48 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 99.9% 1.25 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 56.1% 0.38 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 54.3% 0.62 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 54.1% 4.76 shares