Obassi

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $8.4
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $591.6
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $26.6
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $373.4
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296
Potential profit: $296
User PnL: -$1.78

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $30.8
Potential payout: $279.99
Potential profit: $249.19
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.2
Potential profit: $230.2
User PnL: -$2.65

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $36.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $163.1
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 12.7%
Current value: $25.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $174.7
Multiplier: 7.91x
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $14.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $185.3
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$6.7

Yes position

Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assists

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$15.5

No position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $94.25
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $35.75
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $13.45

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $11.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $88.25
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $55.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $44.5
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $14.5

Under position

Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83
Potential profit: $83
User PnL: -$4.98

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

Kyle Daukaus position

UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$10

Derrick Lewis position

UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5

Aiemann Zahabi position

UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$5

Alex Pereira position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$2.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.99
Potential profit: $5.99
User PnL: -$2.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.2
Potential profit: $5.2
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89
Potential profit: $1.89
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64
Potential profit: $1.64
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.05

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.99

No position

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.93

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.02

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.59

Yes position

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.74

Yes position

Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.42

Yes position

Will "Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.31

Up position

Solana Up or Down - November 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.91

No position

Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9.5m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.55

Yes position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

No position

Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?