No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $44.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $155.1
- Multiplier
- 4.45x
- User PnL
- -$86.9
Polymarket Trader
llord
0x54575fb324b45ac724e8aa13622c4cfb0354385f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $44.9
- Realized PnL
- $275.44
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$45.6
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.01
Inter position
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milan
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 65.9% 43.36 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 69% 100 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No 30.4% 7.14 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes 90% 160 shares
- Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter MilanInter 41% 50 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?No 63% 200 shares
- Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes 90% 150 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Yes 6.1% 180.41 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?No 61% 5 shares
- US-China trade deal before June?Yes 20% 250 shares