Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $35.21K
- Potential payout
- $469.48K
- Potential profit
- $434.27K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.98K
Polymarket Trader
gunnar242
0x54653b7188d5d285ebbd3379158583193ecd5133
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.44K
- Realized PnL
- $115.68K
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Stefon Diggs win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.96K
- Potential profit
- $63.96K
- User PnL
- -$732.69
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.56K
- Potential profit
- $21.56K
- User PnL
- -$6.37K
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $4.91K
- Potential payout
- $10.03K
- Potential profit
- $5.11K
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $403.68
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.71K
- Potential payout
- $4.71K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.84K
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $1.53K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$540
No position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$944.46
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.08K
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.83K
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$177.99
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- User PnL
- -$48.12
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $260
- User PnL
- -$29.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.21K
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.11K
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.76K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39K
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46K
No position
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28K
No position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
No position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $902.31
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $740
No position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $436.92
No position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380.87
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
No position
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
No position
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.69
No position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.49
Yes position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.07
Yes position
Claude 4.8 released by June 15?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.62
Yes position
Claude 4.8 released by June 30?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.92
No position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$560.19
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$560.19
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.6K
Yes position
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.27K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Claude 4.8 released by June 15?Yes 99% 7,661.4 shares
- Claude 4.8 released by June 15?Yes 98.8% 208 shares
- Claude 4.8 released by June 15?Yes 98.7% 53 shares
- Claude 4.8 released by June 15?Yes 98.7% 120 shares
- Claude 4.8 released by June 15?Yes 98.7% 100 shares
- Claude 4.8 released by June 15?Yes 98.6% 120 shares
- Claude 4.8 released by June 15?Yes 98.5% 120 shares
- Claude 4.8 released by June 30?Yes 99% 6,922.26 shares
- Claude 4.8 released by June 30?Yes 98.8% 100 shares
- Claude 4.8 released by June 30?Yes 98.7% 90 shares
- Claude 4.8 released by June 30?Yes 98.8% 202 shares
- Claude 4.8 released by June 30?Yes 98.8% 202 shares