Polymarket Trader

NicoleShaw4553

0x5481ed1233874553c9d20652d35edec1714450ec

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.04K
Realized PnL: $3.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.52K
User PnL: -$288.42

No position

Will Artemis II launch by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $817
Potential profit: $817
User PnL: -$187.91

Yes position

Will Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $716
Potential payout: $716
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $400.96

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $206.15
Potential payout: $509
Potential profit: $302.86
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$22.91

No position

Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $485
Potential profit: $485
User PnL: -$184.3

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $361
Potential profit: $361
User PnL: -$111.91

Under position

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $271
Potential profit: $271
User PnL: -$157.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $242
Potential profit: $242
User PnL: -$121

No position

Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $173
Potential profit: $173
User PnL: -$145.32

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 14, 6PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151
Potential profit: $151
User PnL: -$75.5

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $120
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $94.92

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49
Potential profit: $49
User PnL: -$1.27

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $18
User PnL: -$5.94

No position

Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

Will "Oscar" or "Oscars" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $863.19

Yes position

Will Pacto Histórico win 24-26 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.85

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.72

No position

Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $211.6

Yes position

Will Bologna reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $138.81

Yes position

Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-06?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $129.87

No position

Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $97.09

Yes position

Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-04?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.07

Yes position

Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $50.17

No position

Will Trump say "Angel" at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.6

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.6

No position

Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $43.04

Yes position

Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-06?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.38

No position

Will Trump say "Woke" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.67

No position

Will Eva Victor - Sorry, Baby win Best First-Time Director of a Theatrical Feature Film at the 78th DGA Awards?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.7

No position

Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.35

No position

Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.54

No position

Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $26.4

No position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.11

No position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.83

Yes position

Will Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.98

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 34% 873 shares
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?

No 84% 271 shares
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?

No 85% 621 shares
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?

No 85% 10 shares
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?

No 85% 13 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

No 87% 1,401 shares
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?

No 87% 58 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

No 88% 1,401 shares
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?

No 80% 915 shares
Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 47% 873 shares
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?

No 89% 1,327 shares
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?

No 87% 1,385 shares