Polymarket Trader

Jrinoz

0x5482dd73e3083482edb94b70a23f265b7522d034

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.68K
Realized PnL: $6.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $1.26K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $2.74K
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$619.55

No position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.73K
Potential profit: $2.73K
User PnL: -$573.95

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $1.81K
User PnL: -$687.22

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.36K
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $6.87
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$18.13

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $595.24
Potential profit: $595.24
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 22-28?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$97

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.58
Potential profit: $322.58
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $87
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $213
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $136.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $113.75
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$13.75

Yes position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $192.47
Potential payout: $192.57
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $42.47

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 29-July 5?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $178.57
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.57
Potential profit: $25.57
User PnL: -$4.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $877.34

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $747.19

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $515.39

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $409.58

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $408.94

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 22-28?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.78

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.49

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.26

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.35

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $161.99

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.27

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.92

Yes position

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.19

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.73

Yes position

Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.64

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.9

Yes position

Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.89

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.56

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.46

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?

Yes 77.9% 192.57 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 2.4% 1,057.1 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 29-July 5?

No 14% 178.57 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5?

Yes 26% 97.34 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Yes 33% 242.93 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Yes 45% 175 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 81.3% 221.53 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Yes 18.9% 209.7 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Yes 31.5% 209.71 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Yes 41.2% 242.94 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Yes 57.1% 175.01 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?

No 31% 322.58 shares