Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Polymarket Trader
aphroditemaddy5699
0x548bbdebf1b79db0b96c788b0207bae5d5681fd0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $2.92
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76000 and $78000 on Apr 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times April 11–18?
Ends Apr 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76000 and $78000 on Apr 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times April 11–18?
Ends Apr 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Multiplier
- 15.63x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the Bloc Québécois win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the PPC win 0 seats in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times April 18–25?
Ends Apr 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be out as Secretary of Health and Human Services in Trump's first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Patriots make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?
Ends Apr 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 97.1% 33 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 66% 20 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 66% 48 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 86% 11 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 88% 36 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes 8% 5 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 8% 35 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 93.4% 14 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.5% 71 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No 97.3% 33 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 93.6% 37 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 57% 43 shares