Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
buyaonao
@fangya515
0x5497bd9b48337f06fd51d695e7a05bc6ed778ac9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $161.92
- Realized PnL
- $720.09
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.8%
- Current value
- $32.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $67.25
- Multiplier
- 3.05x
- User PnL
- $16.25
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.4%
- Current value
- $9.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $90.65
- Multiplier
- 10.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $72
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $28
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$15.5
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $10.3
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $89.69
- Multiplier
- 9.71x
- User PnL
- -$5.9
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$14.8
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $37.52
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $2.48
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $9.92
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.38
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47
No position
Will Tesla dip to $375 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7PM ET
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.26
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Gold position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9AM ET
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in November 2025?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6AM ET
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.68
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.4
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5PM ET
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7AM ET
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?Yes 40.3% 100 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 69% 40 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 95.5% 200 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?No 98.9% 100 shares
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?Yes 96.8% 50 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No 99.4% 100 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 24.2% 200 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?Yes 20.2% 79.1 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?Yes 86% 79.1 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?No 14% 199.99 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?Yes 91.4% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes 20% 20 shares