Jiuzhou

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $330.75
Potential profit: $330.59
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 12?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $120.06
Potential profit: $120
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 12?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $112.31
Potential profit: $112.03
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.48
Potential profit: $71.48
User PnL: -$9.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $64.55
Potential profit: $64.52
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 12?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $63.32
Potential profit: $63.13
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.52
Potential profit: $59.52
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $57.54
Potential profit: $57.4
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on July 12?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $57.29
Potential profit: $57.26
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.02
Potential profit: $51.02
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.67
Potential profit: $50.67
User PnL: -$0.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$22.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$23.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $44.91
Potential profit: $44.89
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.75
Potential profit: $39.75
User PnL: -$13.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $37.78
Potential profit: $37.76
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.91
Potential profit: $31.91
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.1
Potential profit: $29.1
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $28.62
Potential profit: $28.61
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.17
Potential profit: $28.17
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C or higher on July 12?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $26.14
Potential profit: $26.12
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.87
Potential profit: $20.87
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.43
Potential profit: $20.43
User PnL: -$18.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $339.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $293.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $272.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET