Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $259.07
- Potential profit
- $258.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.87
Polymarket Trader
Arba1213
@Arapbai_B
0x549c0442d02b49b39b7600752b5934432027980b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.09
- Realized PnL
- $76.85
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $107.34
- Potential profit
- $107.12
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $45.54
- Potential profit
- $44.27
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$10.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.47
- Potential payout
- $21.91
- Potential profit
- $21.44
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$10.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.76
- Potential profit
- $1.76
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.55
Down position
XRP Up or Down - July 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
Up position
XRP Up or Down - July 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Down position
XRP Up or Down - July 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Down position
XRP Up or Down - July 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- XRP Up or Down - July 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETDown 76% 1.32 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETDown 90% 7.65 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETUp 20% 10.72 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETUp 13% 7.69 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETDown 36% 2.78 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETDown 42% 2.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETUp 67% 1.49 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETDown 40% 2.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETUp 65% 1.54 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETDown 89% 28.09 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETUp 69% 1.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETUp 72% 1.39 shares