Polymarket Trader

rpamado - 11104

0x54aac6161682db86e0166234d4c8fc5c25d79b98

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $43.61
Realized PnL: $73.12
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $663.21
Potential profit: $663.21
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $4.76
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $112.88
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$15.24

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $8.12
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $33.54
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $16.54
Potential payout: $28.04
Potential profit: $11.5
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $6.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.08
Potential profit: $27.08
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$10

No position

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $10.47
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $5.16
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Blue wave in 2026?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $3.71
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $11.44
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$1.29

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.63

Yes position

Will Don Lemon be criminally charged?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.73

Yes position

Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.32

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Over position

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

FC Barcelona position

Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

Yes position

Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.87

Yes position

Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Benfica advance to the round of 16?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Porto win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?

Yes 62% 16.13 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

No 7% 71.43 shares
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

Yes 35.7% 28.04 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?

Yes 62% 16.13 shares
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?

Yes 50% 20 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.5% 714.29 shares
Blue wave in 2026?

No 33% 15.15 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.8% 256.41 shares
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5

Over 71% 13.84 shares
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?

Yes 14% 33.87 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.8% 147.06 shares
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-22?

Yes 38% 26.32 shares