Polymarket Trader

RobertLong3632

0x54afee4c8f819886785612d5d69d04d69c87415e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $497.3
Realized PnL: $529.09
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Fluxo W7M position

Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 Winner

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $435
Potential payout: $870
Potential profit: $435
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0

Over position

Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $799
Potential profit: $799
User PnL: -$191.76

No position

Will Trump say "Autopen" this week? (March 8)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $576
Potential profit: $576
User PnL: -$408.96

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296
Potential profit: $296
User PnL: -$11.84

No position

Will Alan Keating be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $184
Potential profit: $184
User PnL: -$126.96

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74
Potential profit: $74
User PnL: -$31.82

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 3?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73
Potential profit: $73
User PnL: -$11.68

Yes position

Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $22.45
Potential payout: $67
Potential profit: $44.56
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$3.69

Yes position

Will The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the #1 searched song on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62
Potential profit: $62
User PnL: -$8.68

Yes position

Will Stanley Tang be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$2.26

No position

Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $38.9
Potential payout: $39
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will Taiki Maeda win the Orderly trading competition?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$3.63

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will Seattle have between 7 and 8 inches of precipitation in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.23

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 29 be between 2,300,000 and 2,400,000?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $86.2

No position

Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.42

Yes position

Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.48

No position

Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.31

No change position

'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.44

No position

Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 3?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.67

No position

Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $20.1

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $10.01

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.74

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.93

Yes position

Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $8.87

No position

Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.66

No position

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.84

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.94

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.94

Yes position

Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.76

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.66

Yes position

Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.3

Yes position

Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.25

Yes position

Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

No position

Will 0xBclub win the Defi App trading competition?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93

No position

Israel strikes Iran before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?

No 8% 335 shares
Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?

No 19% 335 shares
Will Trump say "Autopen" this week? (March 8)

No 71% 576 shares
Will "Wuthering Heights" Third Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?

No 63% 664 shares
Will "Wuthering Heights" Third Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?

No 63% 664 shares
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Down 37% 221 shares
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?

No 63% 313 shares
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?

No 63% 453 shares
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?

No 62% 766 shares
Will Trump say "Newsom" or "Newscum" during the State of the Union address?

No 81% 76 shares
Will Trump say "Newsom" or "Newscum" during the State of the Union address?

No 81% 76 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 73% 539 shares