No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $225.98
- Potential payout
- $226.09
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $7.12
Polymarket Trader
yescat
@polytober
0x54b15905d757bf15d7704122638364837cd620f7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $275.18
- Realized PnL
- $421.4
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $49.2
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $30.8
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$20.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Lightning position
Lightning vs. Canadiens
Ends Feb 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.8
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
Yes position
Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
No position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.54
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $12.5
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.78
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $7.3
No position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.71
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
Will Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.99
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $3.03
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?No 99.8% 309 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No 99.6% 355 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?Yes 95% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 22?No 99.3% 110 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 21?Yes 98% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 22?No 99.6% 148.76 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No 99% 112.14 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 87% 80 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?No 98.3% 55.18 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 96.8% 226.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on June 16?No 99.6% 95 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on June 16?No 99.6% 250 shares