No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $729.99
- Potential payout
- $843.92
- Potential profit
- $113.93
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $88.61
Polymarket Trader
0x54b9...3a09
0x54b9b656b1cc01b2a8856eae7fc58dd2d0d33a09
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $844.51
- Realized PnL
- $152.37
- Win rate
- 38.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $112.52
- Potential payout
- $308.27
- Potential profit
- $195.75
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$29.29
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2.05
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.24
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.46
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 61.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.62x
- User PnL
- $47.46
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $3.21
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- -$2.86
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$8.51
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.9
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.39
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.55
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$41.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 80.9% 197.63 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 18.6% 439.97 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17.6% 10 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 18.1% 1,482.21 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 79.7% 615.15 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 61.5% 504.32 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.7% 1,009.22 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 25.3% 1,655.41 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes 14% 324.06 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes 46% 505.18 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes 15% 546.31 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes 18% 1,500 shares