No position
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $1.3K
- Potential payout
- $2.46K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $47.05
Polymarket Trader
Flancho
@Flancho_
0x54e2b86bc5ce72f6c39797f5e2aa734cbe0034fb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.3K
- Realized PnL
- $14.55K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29K
No position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $739.07
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $731.61
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $676.9
Yes position
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $645
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $426.93
No position
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $412.77
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $398.26
No position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.13
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277.38
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.41
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.49
No position
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.27
No position
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.51
Under position
Islanders vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.99
Spurs position
Mavericks vs. Spurs
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.29
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.95
No position
Will the US strike Yemen next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.1
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.24
No position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.19
Thunder position
Magic vs. Thunder
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 51% 218.51 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.9% 118 shares
- Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 52% 185 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.8% 15,270.25 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.7% 117.98 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 98.8% 845.49 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 98.8% 1,482.76 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 98.7% 5,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 98.1% 2,169.53 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 98.3% 4,188.6 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 97.7% 1,520.32 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 97.7% 642.74 shares