Yes position
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $8.25
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.74
Polymarket Trader
yohe
0x54f2bae15ac8eef83d4fa5a444410f78e32fec42
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $83.86
- Realized PnL
- $223.42
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $8.25
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $147.06
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Idaho governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $2.79
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $80.54
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.21
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $6.01
- Potential payout
- $70.75
- Potential profit
- $64.74
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$6.99
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.79
- Potential profit
- $65.79
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $48.98
- Potential profit
- $48.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.98
Yes position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $29.5
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.3
- Potential profit
- $28.3
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $11.42
- Potential payout
- $22.39
- Potential profit
- $10.97
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $11.14
- Potential payout
- $18.42
- Potential profit
- $7.27
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $6.92
- Potential payout
- $16.28
- Potential profit
- $9.36
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $6.39
- Potential payout
- $12.07
- Potential profit
- $5.67
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.78
- Potential profit
- $11.78
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $2.46
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $4.68
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $0.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $5.96
- Potential profit
- $0.98
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $2.94
- Potential payout
- $4.08
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $3.51
- Potential payout
- $3.75
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $1.72
- Potential payout
- $2.7
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $2.31
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Ends Oct 24, 2027- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $1.82
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will no leader be out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.46
No position
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.63
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.39
Yes position
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.87
Yes position
Will the Labour Party (Ap) win 27% or more of vote in Norwegian election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.71
No position
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89
No position
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.09
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.02
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.96
Yes position
Will Do Kwon be sentenced to 12+ years in prison?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.71
Yes position
French election called by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.05
No position
Grokipedia released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.13
Yes position
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
Yes position
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Yes position
Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Yes position
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Yes position
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
No position
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETUp 58% 3.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETUp 48% 4.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETUp 48% 4.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETUp 30% 6.67 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 23.3% 42.92 shares
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 76% 65.79 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETUp 99% 41.28 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETUp 55% 9.09 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETUp 73% 34.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETUp 71% 7.04 shares
- Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?Yes 10.6% 28.3 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 34% 147.06 shares