Polymarket Trader

lb5

0x54f5eba9e480d9e7145a56bb680746d80d877239

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $502.44
Realized PnL: $1.08K
Win rate: 95.2%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Trump releases Epstein list today?

Ends Feb 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.38K
Potential profit: $13.38K
User PnL: -$60

No position

Will the Las Vegas Raiders earn the 1st pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.64K
Potential profit: $4.64K
User PnL: -$27.96

Yes position

Will Mohammed bin Salman wear a suit and tie by Thursday?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $2.49K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 25.4%
Current value: $451.27
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 3.94x
User PnL: -$59.59

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $26.84
Potential payout: $880
Potential profit: $853.16
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$154.96

Yes position

Will the New York Jets earn the 1st pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$96

Yes position

Will 0 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $699.99
Potential profit: $699.99
User PnL: -$68.6

Yes position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $380
Potential profit: $380
User PnL: -$11.02

Yes position

US national Solana reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.69
Potential profit: $322.69
User PnL: -$83.7

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $187
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$97

Yes position

Epstein client list released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Business Roundtable appearance?

Ends Mar 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$63

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95.3
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: -$39.3

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.59
Potential profit: $92.59
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $6.63
Potential payout: $88.43
Potential profit: $81.79
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $0.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump Media invest in Solana before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.33
Potential profit: $67.33
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $514.44

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Crypto Summit on Friday?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.62

No position

Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.12

No position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.2

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $86

Yes position

Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79

Up position

SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.4

Yes position

Will the Carolina Panthers win the NFC South?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.55

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.41

Yes position

Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.1

Yes position

Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Reserve" during Crypto Summit on Friday?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.53

No position

Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Jeremiyah Love go top 10 in the 2026 Pro Football draft?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

No position

Will Donald Trump say "China" during Crypto Summit on Friday?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Down position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$191.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Down 6% 83.33 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 28.2% 10 shares
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

Up 91% 85.32 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?

Down 51% 100 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?

Down 51% 100 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?

Down 51% 100 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?

Down 51% 100 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?

Down 51% 100 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?

Down 50% 175 shares
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

Up 73% 40 shares
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

Up 70% 50 shares
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

Up 69.8% 143.29 shares