Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $15.65
- Potential payout
- $107.92
- Potential profit
- $92.28
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.35
Polymarket Trader
0x54F63B3C91696bF2D4B72fce8f5C968c40b365eA-1776692521091
0x54f63b3c91696bf2d4b72fce8f5c968c40b365ea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $225.28
- Realized PnL
- -$10.41
- Win rate
- 57.9%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $104.71
- Potential payout
- $105.07
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- User PnL
- $49.71
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $17.71
- Potential payout
- $101.19
- Potential profit
- $83.48
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.7%
- Current value
- $25.01
- Potential payout
- $76.6
- Potential profit
- $51.59
- Multiplier
- 3.06x
- User PnL
- $10.01
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $5.18
- Potential payout
- $54.55
- Potential profit
- $49.36
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $20.47
- Potential payout
- $31.73
- Potential profit
- $11.27
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.3
- Potential profit
- $22.3
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $17.98
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.22
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $10.54
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $4.85
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $0.54
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.24
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $7.23
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $6.28
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $2.23
Yes position
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $5.19
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $7.63
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $12.29
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $7.29
Alex Pereira position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5
Aiemann Zahabi position
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.63
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.41
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.87
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.58
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.63
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.33
Y
Yes position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.67
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.28
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$62.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 11% 54.55 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 32.8% 15.24 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes 72% 2.78 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 16% 101.18 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 16% 62.5 shares
- Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 37% 13.51 shares
- Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 39% 12.82 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 65% 15.38 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 17% 17.65 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 60% 3.33 shares
- Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes 7% 14.29 shares
- Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes 40% 12.5 shares