Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$12
Polymarket Trader
0x551845119Ff3c07f8c4DA018079329f4c3c346c8-1739822133735
0x551845119ff3c07f8c4da018079329f4c3c346c8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $620.84
- Realized PnL
- $948.87
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $300
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $248.22
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$34
Yes position
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- -$8.4
Yes position
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$28
Yes position
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $92.5
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $95
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $5.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $94.05
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $90
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
ECB rate cut in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $23.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $76.5
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$6.5
No position
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $26
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $74
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $80
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $43.2
No position
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $67.89
- Potential payout
- $67.89
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $27.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.86
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 12?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.97
No position
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $75
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.67
No position
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.09
Yes position
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.86
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.3
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.9
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.08
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.5
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.37
No position
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.9
Yes position
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.09
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.8
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.7
Yes position
Will None in 2025 occur?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.14
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
No position
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.98
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.92
Yes position
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Solana reach $130 in February?Yes 9% 100 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?$3k 13% 9.61 shares
- Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?No 58.9% 67.89 shares
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No 15.8% 126.7 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Yes 12% 100 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 26% 100 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 17% 200 shares
- Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?Yes 6.7% 100 shares
- Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?Yes 11.1% 100 shares
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 0.8% 130 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?Yes 1.7% 25 shares
- Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?Yes 18% 100 shares