No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
0x552897FF266c640Aa441Fd07aCfF1574e4369E76-1775464252373
0x552897ff266c640aa441fd07acff1574e4369e76
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.07
- Realized PnL
- -$1.91
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.31
- Potential profit
- $20.31
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.61
- Potential profit
- $17.61
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $3.07
- Potential payout
- $7.41
- Potential profit
- $4.33
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
No position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.27
- Potential profit
- $4.27
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Tisza win 110–119 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?No 93.6% 4.27 shares
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes 28.4% 17.61 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 49.2% 20.31 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 0.4% 250 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 0.8% 125 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.8% 5.88 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 94% 2.13 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 54% 7.41 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?Yes 16% 50 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Yes 25% 12 shares
- Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 82% 1.22 shares
- Will Tisza win 110–119 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?Yes 3.8% 26.32 shares