Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $516.13
- Potential profit
- $516.13
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
RockThor
0x55302e6a9eaa5262d9fe02b198395927208d63a8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.2
- Realized PnL
- $60.89
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" this week?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.5
- Potential profit
- $126.5
- User PnL
- -$19.32
No position
Will Google say "Alphabet" during earnings call?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.5
- Potential profit
- $51.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.73
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.73
Yes position
Will Trump say "Trump Vodka" or "Trump Steak" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $43.48
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $37.5
- Potential profit
- $37.14
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.64
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $30.3
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.44
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Yes position
Will UK strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.44
- Potential profit
- $26.44
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $21.74
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $21.41
- Potential profit
- $20.7
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.91
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Will Trump say "Trump Coin" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $11.44
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Trump say "Trump University" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Washington Commanders agree to name stadium after Trump?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $10.89
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.7
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Mob" or "Mafia" this week?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $7.06
- Potential profit
- $6
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Trump-Kennedy Center" or "Trump Kennedy" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.42
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.32
Yes position
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Coffee" during NYC rally?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Yes position
Will Trump post "Panican" this week on Truth Social?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Trump post "Ass" or "Shit" this week on Truth Social?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during events with Rutte?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
No position
Will Google say "Anthropic" during earnings call?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Will Trump say "Courage" or "Brave" during events with Rutte?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Billionaire" 10+ times during NYC rally?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Will Starmer say "National Security" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will Leavitt say "President" 69+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will Trump say "RINO" or "Republican in Name Only" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will Trump say "America Last" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will "Monkey" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will "Bitcoin" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will "Insurance" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will "Invasion" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will "Instagram" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump post "Free Tina Peters" this week on Truth Social?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Gay" in June?No 35% 2.86 shares
- Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in June?No 32% 3.13 shares
- Will Trump say "No No No Donald" in June?Yes 34% 2.94 shares
- Will Trump say "Mob" or "Mafia" this week?Yes 14% 7.14 shares
- Will Trump say "Autopen" this week?Yes 26% 3.85 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 3.3% 30.3 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes 8% 12.5 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Trump say "RINO" or "Republican in Name Only" in April?No 78% 2.77 shares
- Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" this week?Yes 15.3% 126.5 shares
- Will Google say "Alphabet" during earnings call?No 1.9% 51.5 shares