Polymarket Trader

Tranc3y

0x5537cb4ef58121f260fed01cb106a375047ffdaa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $49.22
Realized PnL: $2.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $248.63
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $5.05
Potential payout: $87.75
Potential profit: $82.7
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $16.73
Potential payout: $72.91
Potential profit: $56.18
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $2.28

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $12.01
Potential payout: $58.16
Potential profit: $46.15
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: $4.01

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $5.2
Potential payout: $46.65
Potential profit: $41.45
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $29.13
Potential profit: $26.15
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $16.96
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$0.1

Team Liquid position

LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $1.13
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

B8 position

Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $362.33

Milwaukee Brewers position

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.95

9z position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.13

9z position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.36

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.72

Golden State Valkyries position

Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.57

DXA Esports position

Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Playoffs

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.41

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.88

Washington Mystics position

Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.17

Los Angeles Angels position

Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.99

G2 position

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.24

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.14

Legacy position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.93

Chicago Cubs position

Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.31

TDK position

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.86

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.75

PARIVISION position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.13

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.51

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.06

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.3

Los Angeles Sparks position

Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.89

MIBR position

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.56

Dplus KIA Challengers position

LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.2

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner

T1 99.9% 23.94 shares
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox 82% 48.78 shares
New York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyries

Golden State Valkyries 99.8% 64.74 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1% 83.33 shares
New York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyries

Golden State Valkyries 60% 16.67 shares
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Team Liquid 82% 6.1 shares
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner

T1 71% 23.94 shares
New York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyries

Golden State Valkyries 52% 48.08 shares
Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky

Las Vegas Aces 99.9% 62.36 shares
Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky

Las Vegas Aces 93% 62.37 shares
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics

Washington Mystics 98% 57.13 shares
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics

Washington Mystics 51% 23.53 shares